1) Donald Trump knows his game theory. His algorithm of choice is called Tit For Tat.
Tit For Tat is an algorithm for playing iterative Prisoner's Dilemma type games. In such games, in each "move" each player must decide whether to cooperate or defect. If both players cooperate, they both gain. If both players defect, neither gains. But if one player cooperates and the other defects, the one who defects picks up points over the one who cooperates.
4) If you are important enough to be a player in the political game --
If you publicly complement Donald Trump, he will publicly complement you back.
If you publicly insult him, he will publicly insult you back. You might even get a nickname.
If you make a peace offering to him, he will return the gesture. As if you were friends all along.
And last but not least, if you launch a scorched-earth campaign of personal destruction against him or threaten his family, he will ruin your life.
7) Barack Obama would have probably ignored the provocation. He wouldn't have wanted to lose the chance for a summit. And then he would have made more concessions at the summit. Just like with Iran. Donald Trump cancelled the summit, which was completely consistant with how he plays the game, and he *proved* to the Taliban that he does not play by Obama's rules. If the Taliban wants to benefit from Donald Trump, they have to cooperate with him, not stab him in the back.
9) Once the rest of the world comes to actually believe that Donald Trump is a straight shooter, and that you don't have to fear being stabbed in the back by him, or becoming a victim of some sort of hidden agenda of his, the rest of the world will feel that they can now trust the American president, and that will be the foundation of trust that will allow President Trump to make breathtaking strides in world politics in his second term.
10) Addendum: I had forgotten that I had learned about Tit For Tat from the late, great Steven Den Beste. Here he applies the lesson brilliantly to the topic of war and deterrence:
@Johnschulien awesome post!!
@Johnschulien Great thread John. Thanks
@Johnschulien Very nice post, thanks so much.
I am sitting here with my mouth wide open. What an unbelievably awesome post. I am not a *gamer* (we had Pong when I was a kid-yes, I'm old), but this made perfect sense.
This is a keeper to study for later when discussing the whys to Trump's success.
Well put. Thank you.
@Johnschulien you nailed it!
Fantastic thread John. I remember Den Beste well from the early 2000s, a genuine blogging legend.
Wow that's incredible, and it makes perfect sense. Thanks John.
@Johnschulien Oh. Wow. And Steven Den Beste. I so miss him. He would have been so thrilled to be watching POTUS do all this.
Great thread. Thanks.
Well done Sir!
Great succinct post. Thanks John
Excellent explanation for his tactics.
Excellent thread. +1 follower!
For those curious about game theory, here is first a broad overview followed by a more in depth philosophical article on what game theory is exactly.
According to excerpts from Gen Mattis’s New book, Obama did just what you say. He ignored a bombing attempt in DC ordered by Iranians. He kept it quiet to keep negotiating the bad nuclear deal.
"If you publicly complement Donald Trump, he will publicly complement you back.
If you publicly insult him, he will publicly insult you back. You might even get a nickname."
And if you do get a nickname, a "Trumpian epithet" as I call them, you're doomed.
@Johnschulien I have never ever seen Trump back down from a fight and I can 100% Guarantee you he never will either! It's just not who he is.
Those who label words as violence do so with the sole purpose of justifying violence against words.